Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-04-07 · 20:45
11.5261.8%
X4.2222.2%
25.8716.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWLWWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWWWWDLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.80
Against
4.80
11.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
3.30
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

2.40goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.70
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.80
11.80
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.00
Match total
26.40

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.60
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches378
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%64.3%+2.5 pp
Draw22.2%19.3%-2.9 pp
Away16.0%16.4%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

2.030.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.6%
2-011.4%
2-19.5%
1-19.3%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.78
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=378.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.1%42.1%–61.9% CI
Draw FT27.7%19.6%–37.4% CI
Away FT20.2%13.3%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals19.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away41.5%