Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:30
11.7055.3%
X3.7625.0%
24.7719.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWLDDLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Arouca
LLDLLWDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.40
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Arouca conceded1.90
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
6.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.30
Match total
27.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.90
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches692
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%57.5%+2.2 pp
Draw25.0%23.8%-1.2 pp
Away19.7%18.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.720.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.3%
1-012.6%
2-011.1%
1-110.8%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.93
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=692.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.6%41.9%–55.3% CI
Draw FT34.8%28.6%–41.4% CI
Away FT16.7%12.2%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.8%
Away37.6%