Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 20:30
11.7055.3%
X3.7625.0%
24.7719.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WWLDDLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Arouca
LLDLLWDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.70N=10
3.40
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
2.10goals per matchArouca conceded1.90Matchup
Arouca attack
1.30goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
6.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.40N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
27.30
Match total
27.60
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.90
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches692
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%57.5%+2.2 pp
Draw25.0%23.8%-1.2 pp
Away19.7%18.6%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS50.6%
Historical average
1.72–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.3%
1-012.6%
2-011.1%
1-110.8%
0-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.03–3.93
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=692.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.6%41.9%–55.3% CI
Draw FT34.8%28.6%–41.4% CI
Away FT16.7%12.2%–22.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.8%
Away37.6%