Primeira Liga · 2024/25
2025-03-15 · 15:30
14.3721.6%
X3.3827.9%
21.8750.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Farense
LWLWLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Sp Braga
WLWWWWWWDL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.40
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
1.80
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Farense attack

0.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.70
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.50goals per match
Farense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

16.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
29.40
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.10
On target
4.60
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.6%28.3%+6.7 pp
Draw27.9%25.7%-2.3 pp
Away50.5%46.1%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

0.971.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-010.5%
1-010.5%
0-29.9%
0-19.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.80
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%14.0%–36.8% CI
Draw FT49.0%35.9%–62.3% CI
Away FT27.5%17.1%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.1%
Away47.1%