Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 20:30
13.3028.7%
X3.6725.8%
22.0845.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
LDDWWWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Porto
WLDWLDWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.70
Against
3.10
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.60goals per matchPorto conceded1.00Matchup
Porto attack
1.80goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.10
10.30
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.60
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.80
Match total
30.30
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.80
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%34.0%+5.4 pp
Draw25.8%23.4%-2.4 pp
Away45.5%42.6%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.547.9%
BTTS69.1%
Historical average
1.68–1.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.7%
0-28.5%
2-18.5%
1-27.4%
2-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.55–5.56
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal95.8%
2+ goals79.2%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away62.5%