Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 20:30
13.3028.7%
X3.6725.8%
22.0845.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
LDDWWWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Porto
WLDWLDWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
6.60N=10
3.70
Against
3.10
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Porto conceded1.00
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.10
10.30
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.60
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
23.80
Match total
30.30

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.80
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%34.0%+5.4 pp
Draw25.8%23.4%-2.4 pp
Away45.5%42.6%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.547.9%
BTTS69.1%

Historical average

1.681.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
0-28.5%
2-18.5%
1-27.4%
2-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.555.56
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.8%
2+ goals79.2%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away62.5%