Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 20:30
13.2329.3%
X3.6326.1%
22.1244.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
WWWWDLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Braga
WWLWLWDWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
10.90
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.50goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.60
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
10.90
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
22.20

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%32.7%+3.4 pp
Draw26.1%19.4%-6.6 pp
Away44.6%47.9%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.431.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.0%
1-28.5%
2-17.6%
1-37.1%
1-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.685.21
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Draw FT29.8%19.5%–42.7% CI
Away FT36.8%25.5%–49.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.4%
Away64.9%