Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 20:30
13.2329.3%
X3.6326.1%
22.1244.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
WWWWDLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sp Braga
WWLWLWDWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
10.90
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.50goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.60Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
10.90
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
22.20
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches211
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%32.7%+3.4 pp
Draw26.1%19.4%-6.6 pp
Away44.6%47.9%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.3%
BTTS62.1%
Historical average
1.43–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.0%
1-28.5%
2-17.6%
1-37.1%
1-06.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–5.21
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=211.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Draw FT29.8%19.5%–42.7% CI
Away FT36.8%25.5%–49.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away64.9%