Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 18:00
11.3271.7%
X5.4517.4%
28.6910.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WLDDWWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Casa Pia
LLWWLLWLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.70
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.50goals per match
Casa Pia conceded2.30
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.70goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.70
9.60
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
24.90
Match total
27.80

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
6.70
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%72.1%+0.3 pp
Draw17.4%19.2%+1.8 pp
Away10.9%8.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

2.350.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.8%
1-010.9%
3-010.5%
2-010.5%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.673.19
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.552.4%
Over 11.540.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.6%43.3%–69.0% CI
Draw FT39.6%27.6%–53.1% CI
Away FT3.8%1.0%–12.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.7%
Away28.3%