Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 18:00
11.5660.6%
X4.4021.5%
25.2917.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sp Braga
WWWLWLWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

3.00
Scored
1.90
0.40
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.80
Against
3.60
10.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

3.00goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.60
10.90
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.60
Match total
22.50

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
8.70
On target
5.10
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.6%58.6%-2.0 pp
Draw21.5%16.4%-5.1 pp
Away17.9%25.0%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.545.7%
BTTS57.8%

Historical average

2.251.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-09.5%
3-07.8%
2-17.8%
0-17.8%
1-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.97
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away42.9%