Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 20:30
11.2774.7%
X5.8916.1%
210.319.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWLDDWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Vizela
WLDDLWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Vizela conceded2.20
Matchup

Vizela attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.80
Match total
29.20

Shots

17.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
7.20
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.7%79.1%+4.4 pp
Draw16.1%12.1%-4.0 pp
Away9.2%8.8%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS47.3%

Historical average

2.560.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
3-011.0%
2-09.9%
2-18.8%
4-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.123.16
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.9%53.5%–87.5% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–14.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.3%
Away34.8%