Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 20:30
11.2774.7%
X5.8916.1%
210.319.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WWLDDWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Vizela
WLDDLWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchVizela conceded2.20Matchup
Vizela attack
0.90goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.80
Match total
29.20
Shots
17.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
7.20
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches91
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.7%79.1%+4.4 pp
Draw16.1%12.1%-4.0 pp
Away9.2%8.8%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS47.3%
Historical average
2.56–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.3%
3-011.0%
2-09.9%
2-18.8%
4-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.12–3.16
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=91.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.9%53.5%–87.5% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–14.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.3%
Away34.8%