Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 20:30
14.2922.2%
X3.9923.8%
21.7654.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
WWWLLWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Sp Braga
DWWWLWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.20
Against
3.80
10.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.60
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Estoril conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.80
10.40
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.00
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
28.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.00
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%23.4%+1.2 pp
Draw23.8%24.8%+1.0 pp
Away54.0%51.8%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.539.0%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.231.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.1%
1-19.2%
2-27.8%
0-17.8%
0-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.215.80
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Away FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away56.0%