Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 18:00
11.4465.9%
X4.8219.7%
26.5814.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWLDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Arouca
LLWWLWWLWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
2.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
2.50
Against
5.00
9.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Arouca conceded1.20
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.00
9.60
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.10
Match total
23.30

Shots

18.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.30
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.9%67.1%+1.2 pp
Draw19.7%24.6%+4.9 pp
Away14.4%8.4%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.380.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.0%
3-09.0%
0-08.4%
1-17.8%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.46
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.6%–66.4% CI
Away FT9.4%3.2%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away21.9%