Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 20:15
16.6014.4%
X4.5820.7%
21.4664.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Portimonense
WWDLWLLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Braga
WDWWWLWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
7.00
Against
4.20
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.50
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.00goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
7.00
Corners against
4.20
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
4.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
27.60
Match total
24.50

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.20
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%13.8%-0.5 pp
Draw20.7%18.1%-2.6 pp
Away64.9%68.1%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.002.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.0%
0-112.8%
0-27.4%
2-27.4%
1-36.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.776.63
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT61.9%40.9%–79.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away71.4%