Primeira Liga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 18:00
11.4266.9%
X4.8119.7%
27.1013.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWWLDDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLLLLWLWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.50
Against
5.10
9.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.30goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded2.00
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.10
9.40
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.70
Match total
23.60

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
7.70
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%69.0%+2.2 pp
Draw19.7%22.6%+2.8 pp
Away13.4%8.4%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.540.6%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

2.300.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.9%
2-010.5%
2-19.6%
3-19.2%
1-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.433.38
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=238.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.3%47.5%–71.9% CI
Draw FT34.5%23.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT5.2%1.8%–14.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.0%
Away25.9%