Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 20:30
11.2277.8%
X6.6114.4%
212.077.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWWWDWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LWLWLDDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
10.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.60goals per match
Pacos Ferreira conceded1.40
Matchup

Pacos Ferreira attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
10.30
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
23.90
Match total
31.80

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
6.90
On target
3.00
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.8%83.0%+5.2 pp
Draw14.4%9.4%-4.9 pp
Away7.9%7.5%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.543.4%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

2.770.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.1%
3-011.3%
1-09.4%
1-17.5%
4-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.812.89
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals53.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home93.3%
Away40.0%