Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 20:30
11.5660.9%
X4.3022.1%
25.5917.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WWWDWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sp Braga
WWWWLWLWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.70
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Benfica conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
6.80
On target
7.10
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.9%69.0%+8.1 pp
Draw22.1%16.7%-5.4 pp
Away17.0%14.3%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.200.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
1-110.5%
2-09.5%
2-19.0%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.183.71
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.4%42.4%–67.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%21.4%–45.2% CI
Away FT12.5%6.2%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away42.9%