Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:30
11.2575.8%
X5.9116.0%
211.658.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
LLWWWWWDWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Portimonense
LWLLLLLLLW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.50
0.40
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.80
Against
6.40
10.40
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.70goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.60Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.50goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.40
10.40
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
24.00
Match total
26.80
Shots
17.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.20
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.8%81.1%+5.3 pp
Draw16.0%11.3%-4.7 pp
Away8.1%7.5%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS45.3%
Historical average
2.36–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.1%
3-015.1%
1-013.2%
2-013.2%
3-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.49–3.26
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.562.3%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.524.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home85.7%
Away28.6%