Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 20:15
15.6216.9%
X3.7525.3%
21.6457.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Casa Pia
LWLDLWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sp Braga
WWWWWLWLWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.20
Against
4.50
9.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Casa Pia attack

1.20goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.00goals per match
Casa Pia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.50
9.70
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
28.90
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
4.00
On target
7.20
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.9%14.9%-2.0 pp
Draw25.3%21.6%-3.7 pp
Away57.8%63.5%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

0.841.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.9%
0-216.2%
1-210.8%
1-39.5%
1-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.585.73
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.529.7%
Over 11.521.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.1%
Away60.9%