Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 20:30
11.3172.2%
X5.3717.6%
29.2810.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWLLWWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Estoril
DWDLLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
0.30
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
20%
10%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.50
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
0.30
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.50goals per match
Estoril conceded1.60
Matchup

Estoril attack

0.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
12.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
6.10
Match total
6.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.60
Match total
32.20

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.2%74.5%+2.3 pp
Draw17.6%16.1%-1.5 pp
Away10.2%9.4%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

2.300.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
2-113.4%
2-010.1%
3-06.7%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.233.44
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.8%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.551.0%
Over 11.538.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.5%44.7%–74.4% CI
Draw FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI
Away FT5.3%1.5%–17.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.3%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals18.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.1%
Away31.6%