Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:30
14.9119.2%
X3.7825.0%
21.6955.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chaves
DDWDLDWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWWWLWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.40
Against
4.40
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chaves attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.40
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Chaves conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.40
10.90
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.10
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
27.40
Match total
25.40

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.20
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%17.1%-2.1 pp
Draw25.0%24.4%-0.6 pp
Away55.8%58.5%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

0.951.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.4%
1-112.2%
0-211.0%
1-29.1%
1-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.735.82
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%12.0%–34.9% CI
Draw FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI
Away FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.3%
Away63.8%