Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 15:30
14.9119.2%
X3.7825.0%
21.6955.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chaves
DDWDLDWLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWWWLWLW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.40
Against
4.40
10.90
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chaves attack
1.30goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.40Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchChaves conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.40
10.90
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
7.10
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
27.40
Match total
25.40
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.20
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%17.1%-2.1 pp
Draw25.0%24.4%-0.6 pp
Away55.8%58.5%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS53.0%
Historical average
0.95–1.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.4%
1-112.2%
0-211.0%
1-29.1%
1-38.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.73–5.82
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.527.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%12.0%–34.9% CI
Draw FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI
Away FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.3%
Away63.8%