Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 18:00
13.1230.2%
X3.3728.0%
22.2641.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWLLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Porto
WDWDWDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.80
0.30
Conceded
0.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
10%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
9.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.80
0.30
Goals conceded
0.50
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.00goals per match
Porto conceded0.50
Matchup

Porto attack

1.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
9.70
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
6.00
Match total
7.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
25.70
Match total
29.30

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
6.30
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%27.1%-3.1 pp
Draw28.0%26.6%-1.4 pp
Away41.8%46.3%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.141.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-210.3%
0-110.1%
0-27.7%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.815.30
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%16.8%–31.9% CI
Draw FT37.8%29.6%–46.8% CI
Away FT38.7%30.4%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away59.7%