Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 20:30
13.8024.9%
X3.5326.8%
21.9648.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Vizela
DLWLLWWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sp Braga
WLWWWWWLWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
80%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.30
Against
4.80
11.70
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Vizela attack
1.20goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.60Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.80goals per matchVizela conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.80
11.70
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.50
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.20
Match total
25.90
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.80
On target
6.80
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches255
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.9%25.1%+0.2 pp
Draw26.8%26.7%-0.1 pp
Away48.3%48.2%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.07–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
0-112.2%
1-210.2%
2-18.2%
0-27.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.51–5.26
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%13.5%–33.4% CI
Draw FT39.1%28.1%–51.3% CI
Away FT39.1%28.1%–51.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.5%
Away57.8%