Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 20:30
11.4167.1%
X4.4221.4%
28.2711.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
DWWWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Rio Ave
DDDLLWDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.70
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.40
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.70
9.00
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.30
Match total
6.10
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.70N=10
27.00
Match total
30.70

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.90
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%79.6%+12.5 pp
Draw21.4%10.2%-11.2 pp
Away11.4%10.2%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS36.7%

Historical average

2.080.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.4%
1-017.3%
3-012.2%
2-112.2%
1-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.613.45
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.8%59.0%–87.2% CI
Draw FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Away FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal97.0%
2+ goals51.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home87.9%
Away33.3%