Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-27 · 21:15
13.8024.8%
X3.4927.0%
21.9648.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
LWDWWWDLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Braga
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.30
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
2.00
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.20
Against
5.00
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.10goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.40Matchup
Sp Braga attack
2.30goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.00
9.30
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.60
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
34.20
Match total
26.10
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.70
On target
7.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches252
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%21.4%-3.4 pp
Draw27.0%27.8%+0.7 pp
Away48.1%50.8%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
0.99–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
0-111.1%
1-210.3%
0-29.1%
1-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–5.37
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=252.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%13.4%–32.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%29.3%–51.7% CI
Away FT38.6%28.0%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.6%
Away58.6%