Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-27 · 21:15
13.8024.8%
X3.4927.0%
21.9648.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
LWDWWWDLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sp Braga
WWLWWWWWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.30
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
2.00
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.20
Against
5.00
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.80
Total goals
3.70
30%3/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.40
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.30goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.00
9.30
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.60
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
34.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
3.70
On target
7.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches252
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%21.4%-3.4 pp
Draw27.0%27.8%+0.7 pp
Away48.1%50.8%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

0.991.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-111.1%
1-210.3%
0-29.1%
1-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.37
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=252.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%13.4%–32.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%29.3%–51.7% CI
Away FT38.6%28.0%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.6%
Away58.6%