Primeira Liga · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 18:00
11.4166.9%
X4.7819.7%
27.0813.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSp Braga: 9/10 · Arouca: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2022/23 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
DWWWLLWWW
6W 1D 2L · 2.11 PPM
Arouca
LWDDDWLDD
2W 5D 2L · 1.22 PPM
Goals
2.11
Scored
0.89
0.67
Conceded
1.56
44%
Over 2.5
33%
22%
BTTS
67%
By half
1.22
1H goals
1.33
1.56
2H goals
1.11
78%
Goal in 2H
56%
Corners
5.78N=9
For
3.78N=9
3.44
Against
6.78
9.22
Total
10.56
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=9
2.11
Goals scored
0.89
0.67
Goals conceded
1.56
2.78
Total goals
2.44
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
2.11goals per matchArouca conceded1.56Matchup
Arouca attack
0.89goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.67Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=9
0.78
1H goals scored
0.33
0.44
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.33
2H goals scored
0.56
0.22
2H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=9
5.78N=9
Corners for
3.78N=9
3.44
Corners against
6.78
9.22
Match total
10.56
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=9
For
2.22N=9
6.44
Match total
3.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.89N=9
Committed
13.00N=9
27.33
Match total
24.78
Shots
19.00N=9
Shots
10.44N=9
6.11
On target
3.56
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.9%73.1%+6.1 pp
Draw19.7%20.3%+0.6 pp
Away13.3%6.6%-6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
2.37–0.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.5%
3-110.4%
2-09.9%
1-09.9%
3-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–3.47
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.536.3%
Over 11.525.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.6%50.4%–76.6% CI
Draw FT31.3%19.9%–45.3% CI
Away FT4.2%1.2%–14.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals52.1%
3+ goals29.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.9%
Away27.1%