Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-05-08 · 18:00
11.6557.3%
X3.9523.9%
25.0218.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWDLWWDLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Arouca
LDLWDWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.50
Against
4.00
10.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.30goals per match
Arouca conceded1.40
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.00
10.00
Match total
8.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.90N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
28.70
Match total
32.60

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.90
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches184
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.3%59.8%+2.5 pp
Draw23.9%19.6%-4.4 pp
Away18.8%20.7%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.840.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.2%
1-09.8%
0-19.8%
3-08.7%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.11
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=184.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%33.3%–59.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Away FT28.8%18.3%–42.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away53.8%