Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-18 · 20:30
13.7125.3%
X3.3428.1%
22.0246.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Estoril
DDDLLDWLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sp Braga
WLLWWLWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.70
Against
4.20
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Estoril attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Estoril conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.20
9.00
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.60
Match total
5.20
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
29.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.40
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches164
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.3%25.0%-0.3 pp
Draw28.1%23.8%-4.4 pp
Away46.5%51.2%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.051.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
0-111.6%
1-29.8%
1-08.5%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.12
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=164.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.545.7%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI
Draw FT36.6%23.6%–51.9% CI
Away FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals7.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away58.5%