Primeira Liga · 2021/22
2022-04-01 · 20:15
12.9332.4%
X3.3728.1%
22.4039.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWWDLWWDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Benfica
WWDWWLWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.60
0.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
2.20
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Benfica conceded1.00
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.60goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.00
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
29.40
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.30
On target
5.90
10%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%29.6%-2.8 pp
Draw28.1%28.7%+0.6 pp
Away39.5%41.7%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

1.201.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-09.0%
1-28.5%
0-18.1%
0-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.865.30
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%18.1%–40.8% CI
Draw FT36.8%25.5%–49.8% CI
Away FT35.1%24.0%–48.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away57.9%