Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-14 · 21:15
11.3868.4%
X5.0818.6%
27.2113.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWDWWLDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Moreirense
WWWLWLWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
10.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Moreirense conceded0.90
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
10.80
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
29.60
Match total
28.70

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.50
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.4%75.0%+6.6 pp
Draw18.6%4.2%-14.4 pp
Away13.1%20.8%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS37.5%

Historical average

2.380.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-016.7%
2-012.5%
1-012.5%
1-28.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.63
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away20.0%