Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-05-14 · 21:15
11.3868.4%
X5.0818.6%
27.2113.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WWDWWLDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Moreirense
WWWLWLWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
0.80
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
10.80
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.60goals per matchMoreirense conceded0.90Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.10goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
10.80
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
29.60
Match total
28.70
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.50
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.4%75.0%+6.6 pp
Draw18.6%4.2%-14.4 pp
Away13.1%20.8%+7.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS37.5%
Historical average
2.38–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-016.7%
2-012.5%
1-012.5%
1-28.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.50–3.63
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.0%
Away20.0%