Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:00
11.4664.4%
X4.2921.9%
26.8613.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WWWWWDWWLD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Boavista
LDDDLWDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Against
6.50
9.30
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchBoavista conceded1.40Matchup
Boavista attack
1.00goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.50
9.30
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.40
Match total
31.30
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.4%65.4%+1.0 pp
Draw21.9%15.4%-6.5 pp
Away13.7%19.2%+5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS38.5%
Historical average
1.87–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.3%
3-011.5%
2-011.5%
1-19.6%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.37
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away30.8%