Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 17:30
11.4266.1%
X4.3521.6%
27.5912.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WWWWWWDWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Belenenses
LDLDLLDDWD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.30
0.80
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
10%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
0.50
100%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
9.00
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
1.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchBelenenses conceded0.80Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.30goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
9.00
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.10N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.70
Match total
30.40
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
3%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.1%70.0%+3.9 pp
Draw21.6%15.0%-6.6 pp
Away12.4%15.0%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS30.0%
Historical average
1.70–0.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-030.0%
3-110.0%
0-010.0%
0-110.0%
2-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
7.40–3.50
Average total10.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.545.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals17.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.6%
Away17.6%