Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 20:00
12.9032.3%
X3.6625.6%
22.2342.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Benfica
WLWWDDLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
0.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.60
Against
3.60
9.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.10goals per match
Benfica conceded0.80
Matchup

Benfica attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.60
9.30
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

16.30N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.70
Match total
31.60

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%26.8%-5.5 pp
Draw25.6%32.1%+6.5 pp
Away42.0%41.1%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS60.7%

Historical average

1.181.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-210.7%
0-110.7%
2-210.7%
1-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.885.09
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away61.1%