Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-03-09 · 21:45
11.5859.6%
X4.0223.4%
25.5417.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
LWWWWWWWDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Guimaraes
DWWWWDWDDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.40
Against
5.80
8.60
Total
9.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.80goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.60Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.40goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.80
8.60
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
30.70
Match total
30.40
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.6%58.2%-1.4 pp
Draw23.4%25.3%+1.9 pp
Away17.0%16.5%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.536.7%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
2.10–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.7%
2-011.4%
3-110.1%
2-18.9%
0-18.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.35–3.99
Average total10.34
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.535.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away52.4%