Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 20:00
15.7616.3%
X3.7824.8%
21.5958.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nacional
DDDWLWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWLWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
7.00
Against
5.30
12.40
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nacional attack
1.30goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.20Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchNacional conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.30
12.40
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
31.10
Match total
31.00
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.3%12.5%-3.8 pp
Draw24.8%18.8%-6.0 pp
Away58.9%68.8%+9.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
0.88–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-131.3%
1-218.8%
0-412.5%
2-212.5%
1-36.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.13–7.19
Average total11.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.543.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals6.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.0%
Away75.0%