Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 20:00
15.7616.3%
X3.7824.8%
21.5958.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
DDDWLWLLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWLWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
7.00
Against
5.30
12.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.30goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.20
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Nacional conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.30
12.40
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.60
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
17.10N=10
31.10
Match total
31.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.30
On target
5.20
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.3%12.5%-3.8 pp
Draw24.8%18.8%-6.0 pp
Away58.9%68.8%+9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

0.881.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-131.3%
1-218.8%
0-412.5%
2-212.5%
1-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.137.19
Average total11.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.543.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT68.8%44.4%–85.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away75.0%