Primeira Liga · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 17:30
14.5520.6%
X3.4627.1%
21.7952.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSanta Clara: 8/10 · Sp Braga: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
WDLLLDLW
2W 2D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWLWLLW
5W 0D 4L · 1.67 PPM
Goals
0.88
Scored
2.00
1.25
Conceded
1.33
38%
Over 2.5
67%
38%
BTTS
44%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.89
1.13
2H goals
1.44
75%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
3.63N=8
For
5.44N=9
5.50
Against
4.89
9.13
Total
10.33
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
6/8 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=9
0.88
Goals scored
2.00
1.25
Goals conceded
1.33
2.13
Total goals
3.33
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.88goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.33Matchup
Sp Braga attack
2.00goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.25Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=9
0.25
1H goals scored
1.44
0.75
1H goals conceded
0.44
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.63
2H goals scored
0.56
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.89
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=9
3.63N=8
Corners for
5.44N=9
5.50
Corners against
4.89
9.13
Match total
10.33
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=8
For
1.56N=9
4.13
Match total
3.11
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.38N=8
Committed
17.00N=9
32.38
Match total
30.56
Shots
9.88N=8
Shots
12.56N=9
2.88
On target
5.44
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%13.0%-7.5 pp
Draw27.1%34.8%+7.7 pp
Away52.3%52.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.513.0%
BTTS39.1%
Historical average
0.61–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-221.7%
1-121.7%
0-013.0%
0-18.7%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.13–6.04
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home23.1%
Away46.2%