Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 21:15
12.7234.3%
X3.5726.1%
22.3639.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
LWWDWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Porto
DWWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
2.90
11.90
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.90goals per matchPorto conceded0.80Matchup
Porto attack
2.00goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.90
11.90
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
6.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
29.50
Match total
33.00
Shots
17.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
6.40
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%44.7%+10.4 pp
Draw26.1%26.3%+0.2 pp
Away39.5%28.9%-10.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.47–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.2%
2-110.5%
0-110.5%
0-010.5%
1-37.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–5.61
Average total10.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.1%
Away44.4%