Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-25 · 21:15
12.7234.3%
X3.5726.1%
22.3639.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
LWWDWWLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Porto
DWWWWWLDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
2.90
11.90
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.90goals per match
Porto conceded0.80
Matchup

Porto attack

2.00goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
2.90
11.90
Match total
8.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.50
Match total
6.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
29.50
Match total
33.00

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
6.40
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%44.7%+10.4 pp
Draw26.1%26.3%+0.2 pp
Away39.5%28.9%-10.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.471.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.2%
2-110.5%
0-110.5%
0-010.5%
1-37.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.325.61
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.568.4%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away44.4%