Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-20 · 19:15
15.1818.1%
X4.0723.1%
21.6058.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tondela
DDLDLDWLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Sp Braga
LWWWWWLDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.40
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
2.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.10
Against
3.40
9.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.30
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.40goals per match
Tondela conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.40
9.00
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.40
Match total
6.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
34.90
Match total
32.80

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.20
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%23.1%+4.9 pp
Draw23.1%30.8%+7.7 pp
Away58.8%46.2%-12.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

0.921.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.4%
2-115.4%
0-57.7%
3-27.7%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.385.38
Average total8.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals24.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away44.0%