Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 19:15
11.2674.2%
X5.6016.7%
210.239.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
WLWWDWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Belenenses
LWLLLWDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
7.00
11.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

2.00goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.70
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
7.00
11.70
Match total
12.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
29.30
Match total
31.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.2%84.6%+10.4 pp
Draw16.7%15.4%-1.3 pp
Away9.1%0.0%-9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.690.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-115.4%
2-115.4%
2-211.5%
2-011.5%
1-011.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.353.12
Average total11.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.580.8%
Over 10.565.4%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away36.4%