Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 19:15
11.2674.2%
X5.6016.7%
210.239.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WLWWDWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Belenenses
LWLLLWDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
7.00
11.70
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
2.00goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.70Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.90goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
7.00
11.70
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
29.30
Match total
31.50
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
6.10
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.2%84.6%+10.4 pp
Draw16.7%15.4%-1.3 pp
Away9.1%0.0%-9.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
2.69–0.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-115.4%
2-115.4%
2-211.5%
2-011.5%
1-011.5%
Comparable corner averages
8.35–3.12
Average total11.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.580.8%
Over 10.565.4%
Over 11.546.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away36.4%