Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 21:30
11.1979.1%
X6.8213.8%
213.167.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
DWLWWDWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Aves
LLLLLWDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Against
9.40
12.10
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.80goals per match
Aves conceded1.90
Matchup

Aves attack

0.80goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
9.40
12.10
Match total
13.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
6.20
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
29.30
Match total
32.60

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.70
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.1%100.0%+20.9 pp
Draw13.8%0.0%-13.8 pp
Away7.1%0.0%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.554.5%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

2.910.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-127.3%
2-027.3%
4-018.2%
2-118.2%
5-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.822.91
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT77.8%54.8%–91.0% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–17.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals72.2%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away27.8%