Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 21:30
13.1430.0%
X3.2828.7%
22.2841.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
DWWLWDDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
LWLWWWWWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.00
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
11.30
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.10goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.80goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
11.30
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.40
Match total
7.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
32.70
Match total
31.60

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.0%23.8%-6.2 pp
Draw28.7%28.6%-0.1 pp
Away41.3%47.6%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.991.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.7%
1-114.3%
0-29.5%
0-08.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.055.10
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.536.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.9%
Away59.1%