Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 21:00
12.0645.5%
X3.4527.2%
23.4327.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WDWLWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Guimaraes
LDDDDLWWWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
8.30N=10
4.70
Against
4.10
12.10
Total
12.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.70goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.10Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.70goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
8.30N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.10
12.10
Match total
12.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.00
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
29.50
Match total
30.30
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
6.60
On target
6.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%47.3%+1.8 pp
Draw27.2%29.7%+2.6 pp
Away27.3%23.0%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.43–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-120.3%
1-020.3%
2-09.5%
0-26.8%
2-25.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–4.55
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.539.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home83.3%
Away38.9%