Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-05 · 20:00
15.6816.5%
X4.0223.2%
21.5560.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
WWDLLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
LWLWLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.90goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.80
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.70goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
9.10
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Match total
7.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
29.30
Match total
31.00

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%12.5%-4.0 pp
Draw23.2%18.8%-4.5 pp
Away60.3%68.8%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

0.942.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-225.0%
0-112.5%
1-112.5%
2-36.3%
0-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.94
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%