Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-06-05 · 20:00
15.6816.5%
X4.0223.2%
21.5560.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Santa Clara
WWDLLLLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
LWLWLWWWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Santa Clara attack
0.90goals per matchSp Braga conceded0.80Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.70goals per matchSanta Clara conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
9.10
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Match total
7.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
29.30
Match total
31.00
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%12.5%-4.0 pp
Draw23.2%18.8%-4.5 pp
Away60.3%68.8%+8.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS68.8%
Historical average
0.94–2.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-225.0%
0-112.5%
1-112.5%
2-36.3%
0-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.00–4.94
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away80.0%