Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-06 · 20:30
11.3569.6%
X4.9019.2%
28.3511.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Braga
LDWDWLWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Portimonense
DDLDLDLLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Against
4.40
11.70
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Portimonense conceded1.70
Matchup

Portimonense attack

0.50goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.40
11.70
Match total
7.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
6.20
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
27.80
Match total
30.00

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.20
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%78.6%+9.0 pp
Draw19.2%21.4%+2.3 pp
Away11.2%0.0%-11.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS28.6%

Historical average

2.070.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-021.4%
1-021.4%
2-014.3%
2-27.1%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.503.43
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away7.7%