Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 17:30
14.8319.4%
X3.8424.4%
21.6756.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Maritimo
LLWDDDWDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sp Braga
DLWLWLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.10
Against
4.20
11.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Maritimo attack

1.40goals per match
Sp Braga conceded0.80
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Maritimo conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.20
11.90
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.40
Match total
6.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

16.20N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
35.40
Match total
30.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%18.8%-0.7 pp
Draw24.4%25.0%+0.6 pp
Away56.2%56.3%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.251.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.8%
1-118.8%
0-312.5%
2-112.5%
4-56.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.195.44
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away63.6%