Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 18:00
11.6058.6%
X3.9124.0%
25.3617.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benfica
WLWWWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Sp Braga
LDLWLWLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.60
0.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.70
Against
4.10
12.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Benfica attack

2.70goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.60goals per match
Benfica conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.10
12.90
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.90
Match total
6.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.80
Match total
29.70

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
5.70
On target
5.10
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%59.3%+0.7 pp
Draw24.0%11.1%-12.9 pp
Away17.5%29.6%+12.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS40.7%

Historical average

1.780.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-011.1%
1-211.1%
1-011.1%
2-011.1%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.594.07
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.5%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%