Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 17:30
11.7952.3%
X3.7125.3%
24.1822.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSp Braga: 8/10 · Sp Lisbon: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Braga
WLDWDWLW
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM
Sp Lisbon
DWDWWLLWW
5W 2D 2L · 1.89 PPM
Goals
1.63
Scored
1.78
1.38
Conceded
1.00
63%
Over 2.5
56%
50%
BTTS
67%
By half
0.88
1H goals
1.33
2.13
2H goals
1.44
88%
Goal in 2H
89%
Corners
7.63N=8
For
6.22N=9
3.38
Against
3.33
11.00
Total
9.56
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
7/8 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=9
1.63
Goals scored
1.78
1.38
Goals conceded
1.00
3.00
Total goals
2.78
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.63goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.00Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.78goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.38Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=9
0.38
1H goals scored
0.89
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.44
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.25
2H goals scored
0.89
0.88
2H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=9
7.63N=8
Corners for
6.22N=9
3.38
Corners against
3.33
11.00
Match total
9.56
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.38N=8
For
3.11N=9
5.25
Match total
6.11
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=8
Committed
14.78N=9
27.75
Match total
29.33
Shots
18.25N=8
Shots
13.33N=9
6.13
On target
3.89
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%56.0%+3.7 pp
Draw25.3%20.0%-5.3 pp
Away22.4%24.0%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.512.0%
BTTS36.0%
Historical average
1.36–0.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.0%
1-112.0%
0-112.0%
2-012.0%
0-28.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.92–3.80
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away28.6%