Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-29 · 20:15
15.5716.8%
X4.1922.4%
21.5460.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetMoreirense: 8/10 · Sp Braga: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Moreirense
WWLDDWWL
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM
Sp Braga
LDLWLWLWW
4W 1D 4L · 1.44 PPM

Goals

1.75
Scored
1.56
1.38
Conceded
1.00
63%
Over 2.5
33%
75%
BTTS
44%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.44
1.63
2H goals
1.11
88%
Goal in 2H
78%

Corners

4.75N=8
For
5.89N=9
5.88
Against
4.33
10.63
Total
10.22
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/8 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

5/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=8 N=9
1.75
Goals scored
1.56
1.38
Goals conceded
1.00
3.13
Total goals
2.56
88%7/8
Over 1.5
67%6/9
63%5/8
Over 2.5
33%3/9
25%2/8
Over 3.5
11%1/9
75%6/8
BTTS
44%4/9
Matchup

Moreirense attack

1.75goals per match
Sp Braga conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Braga attack

1.56goals per match
Moreirense conceded1.38
Timing

First & second half

N=8 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
0.89
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.56
75%6/8
Over 0.5 1H
89%8/9
50%4/8
Leading at HT
56%5/9
0.75
2H goals scored
0.67
0.88
2H goals conceded
0.44
88%7/8
Over 0.5 2H
78%7/9
38%3/8
More goals in 2H
22%2/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=8 N=9
4.75N=8
Corners for
5.89N=9
5.88
Corners against
4.33
10.63
Match total
10.22
63%5/8
Over 8.5
67%6/9
63%5/8
Over 9.5
44%4/9
38%3/8
Team over 4.5
67%6/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.13N=8
For
3.44N=9
5.63
Match total
7.00
75%6/8
Over 3.5
100%9/9

Fouls

16.13N=8
Committed
14.56N=9
32.25
Match total
29.78

Shots

10.25N=8
Shots
13.44N=9
3.88
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%15.0%-1.8 pp
Draw22.4%15.0%-7.4 pp
Away60.8%70.0%+9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

0.902.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
0-115.0%
0-410.0%
2-110.0%
1-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.55
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away63.6%