Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-29 · 20:15
15.5716.8%
X4.1922.4%
21.5460.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetMoreirense: 8/10 · Sp Braga: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Moreirense
WWLDDWWL
4W 2D 2L · 1.75 PPM
Sp Braga
LDLWLWLWW
4W 1D 4L · 1.44 PPM
Goals
1.75
Scored
1.56
1.38
Conceded
1.00
63%
Over 2.5
33%
75%
BTTS
44%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.44
1.63
2H goals
1.11
88%
Goal in 2H
78%
Corners
4.75N=8
For
5.89N=9
5.88
Against
4.33
10.63
Total
10.22
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/8 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=9
1.75
Goals scored
1.56
1.38
Goals conceded
1.00
3.13
Total goals
2.56
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.75goals per matchSp Braga conceded1.00Matchup
Sp Braga attack
1.56goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.38Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
0.89
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.75
2H goals scored
0.67
0.88
2H goals conceded
0.44
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=9
4.75N=8
Corners for
5.89N=9
5.88
Corners against
4.33
10.63
Match total
10.22
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.13N=8
For
3.44N=9
5.63
Match total
7.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.13N=8
Committed
14.56N=9
32.25
Match total
29.78
Shots
10.25N=8
Shots
13.44N=9
3.88
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.8%15.0%-1.8 pp
Draw22.4%15.0%-7.4 pp
Away60.8%70.0%+9.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
0.90–2.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-220.0%
0-115.0%
0-410.0%
2-110.0%
1-310.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–4.55
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away63.6%