Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 15:45
12.5935.8%
X3.8024.4%
22.3339.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
LDWDLDWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Twente
DDDDWDDWWW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.90goals per match
Twente conceded1.00
Matchup

Twente attack

1.70goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.60
Match total
20.00

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
5.80
On target
6.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%37.9%+2.1 pp
Draw24.4%24.1%-0.3 pp
Away39.8%37.9%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS72.4%

Historical average

1.721.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-110.3%
2-310.3%
3-16.9%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.175.21
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.544.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away73.3%