Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 15:45
12.5935.8%
X3.8024.4%
22.3339.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
LDWDLDWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Twente
DDDDWDDWWW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.30
10.20
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.90goals per matchTwente conceded1.00Matchup
Twente attack
1.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.30
10.20
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.60
Match total
20.00
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
17.00N=10
5.80
On target
6.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%37.9%+2.1 pp
Draw24.4%24.1%-0.3 pp
Away39.8%37.9%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS72.4%
Historical average
1.72–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
2-110.3%
2-310.3%
3-16.9%
2-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–5.21
Average total10.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.544.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.13
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away73.3%