Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 20:00
11.8849.3%
X3.9223.6%
23.4227.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
DWWDDWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nijmegen
LWWDWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.30
0.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.00
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.00
Against
4.40
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.30
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Twente attack

1.50goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.50
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.30goals per match
Twente conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.40
8.90
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
17.40
Match total
23.90

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
6.50
On target
7.30
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.3%55.3%+6.0 pp
Draw23.6%14.9%-8.7 pp
Away27.1%29.8%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.544.7%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.981.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.8%
2-010.6%
3-18.5%
3-06.4%
0-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.53
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.566.0%
Over 10.551.1%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%