Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 20:00
12.2740.9%
X3.6425.5%
22.7733.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
LDLWWDWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Twente
DDDDDWDDWW
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
9.30
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.90goals per match
Twente conceded1.20
Matchup

Twente attack

1.80goals per match
Ajax conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
9.30
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.80
Match total
21.20

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
6.80
On target
5.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%38.6%-2.4 pp
Draw25.5%25.2%-0.3 pp
Away33.5%36.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.531.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.9%
1-19.0%
0-09.0%
1-08.1%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.77
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%23.4%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%33.0%–58.5% CI
Away FT20.0%11.6%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away34.5%