Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 11:15
11.5360.6%
X4.1522.3%
25.4217.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Twente
WLDWWDDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Utrecht
LLDDDLDWWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.80
Against
4.80
8.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Twente attack

1.70goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.60
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.40goals per match
Twente conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.80
8.60
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
18.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

19.30N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
6.60
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.6%65.6%+5.1 pp
Draw22.3%19.9%-2.4 pp
Away17.1%14.4%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

2.180.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.9%
1-110.7%
1-09.4%
2-19.2%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.69
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%45.7%–63.9% CI
Draw FT30.6%22.8%–39.7% CI
Away FT14.4%9.1%–22.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.6%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.9%
Away40.5%