Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
11.4465.3%
X5.0518.6%
25.8716.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
DWWWWWDWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Twente
WLLLDDDLDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.80
Against
4.80
9.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.10goals per match
Twente conceded1.90
Matchup

Twente attack

1.40goals per match
Ajax conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.80
9.70
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.80
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.00
Match total
22.50

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.10
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%70.1%+4.8 pp
Draw18.6%19.4%+0.8 pp
Away16.0%10.4%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.546.3%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

2.480.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.4%
1-010.4%
2-29.0%
3-19.0%
3-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.943.78
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away61.5%